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In view of the fact that the economic climate is still at a high level and the absolute level of prices is high, there is basically no room for relaxation in the next few months. Looking forward to August, although the short-term capital shortage has eased slightly, the inflation expectation is once again heating up. It is expected that construction machinery is expected to rebound. The slowdown in tightening in mid-June is likely to re-energize. In this environment, there is no trend improvement in the demand for mechanical products as investment products.
Foreign countries: the recovery is tortuous, the outlook is not optimistic
As the European and American debt problems intensified, the economic downturn is expected to become stronger, but inflation expectations are still strong due to the expectation of launching QE3 and the weakening of the US dollar. The core CPI of the United States is close to a critical level, and the United States and European countries will face increasingly serious stagflation in the future. It is expected that China's exports of machinery products will continue to maintain the previous slow downward trend.
Construction machinery is expected to rebound in mid-August
The performance of the three sub-sectors of construction machinery, railway equipment and other special machinery did not match the previous forecast. The performance of railway equipment in the mechanical sub-sector is due to the rear-end collision of the trains that occurred in late July. Among them, the difference in performance between construction machinery and other special machinery is mainly due to the difference in investment style between the market and the market. It is expected that the performance of these two sub-sectors will re-conform to our previous expectations after the construction machinery is expected to rebound in mid-August.
Construction machinery industry in mid-August or warmer
The trend of investment demand and profitability under inflationary pressures may be minimal. The engineering machinery manufacturing has no door to attack and returns to the defense situation. It is expected that construction machinery is expected to rebound in mid-August.