China's high-speed rail 3.5 trillion investment creates huge wealth for the machine tool industry

Recently, the National Development and Reform Commission Macro Research Institute said that China's high-speed railway construction will maintain large-scale investment in the next five years, and the investment will remain at around 700 billion yuan per year, totaling about 3.5 trillion yuan.

The vigorous development of China's railway industry is a major positive for the machine tool industry, and it has huge business opportunities.

Railway investment scale is unprecedented
According to the relevant information, the author knows that in 2010, China's railway operation mileage target is more than 90,000 kilometers, but by the end of 2008, this goal has already been completed 89%, reaching 80,000 kilometers (investment of about 350 billion yuan). In view of this situation, at the end of November 2008, the Ministry of Railways adjusted the target of “2020 railway operation mileage of 100,000 kilometers” in the Medium and Long-term Railway Network Plan adopted by the State Council in 2004 to 120,000 kilometers.

Less than a year later, the Ministry of Railways revealed to the media that "in the past two years, it will strive to approve the construction of a new railway of about 20,000 kilometers and invest more than 2 trillion yuan." The investment plan is to invest 700 billion yuan in 2010. The operating mileage is 92,000 kilometers (in 2009, the investment is about 600 billion yuan, the operating mileage will reach 86,000 kilometers in the year, the world ranking exceeds India and Russia, and the second only jumps to the United States); in 2011, the investment was 750 billion yuan, which was operated that year. The mileage is 100,000 kilometers; in 2012, the investment was 700 billion yuan, and the operating mileage of the year was 110,000 kilometers. In other words, the adjusted 120,000-kilometer operating mileage target for the medium- and long-term railway network plan in 2020 will also be completed ahead of schedule. Such large-scale, high-density railway construction is unprecedented in the history of railway construction in China.

In the past few years, China's railway investment has basically only hovered between 200 billion and 300 billion yuan per year. Since 2009, China's railway investment has remained at around 600 billion yuan, mainly due to the influence of the country's policy of expanding domestic demand. These funds are mainly It is an input from the national government, and some are from local governments. The local government has established a good financing platform through investment companies, which laid a good foundation for the rapid development of railway investment in the past two years.

The National Development and Reform Commission's Macro Research Institute pointed out that the investment in railways will not be low in the next few years. After all, the number of projects started has been so much. Even if they are not allowed to become unfinished projects, they should continue to maintain a considerable scale. investment. However, the tendency of investment overheating in some regions also needs attention. The investment is excessively ahead of demand, resulting in mismatch and incompatibility, resulting in poor investment returns. The key to controlling the overheated investment lies in the control of investment project risks. Don't set the investment standards too high, and try to build some single-line projects to match the demand.

Railway equipment demand has grown dramatically
With the rapid development of railway construction scale and investment scale, the demand for railway equipment will also increase sharply, especially for equipment closely related to the machine tool industry. According to relevant analysis, the investment composition of railway construction mainly includes bridges and culverts, roadbeds, tracks and rolling stocks, accounting for 25%~30%, 10%~15%, 7%~10% and 10% respectively. According to this calculation, from 2008 to 2012, the purchase cost of newly added locomotive vehicles will reach more than 300 billion yuan. If the existing backward aging locomotives are replaced, the cost of locomotives will be greatly increased. According to relevant sources, by 2012, the Ministry of Railways will arrange for the purchase of motor vehicles to reach 500 billion yuan. The specific goal is that the number of EMUs that will be put into operation nationwide in 2010 will reach 800 or more, which is 4 times that of 2009; the number of high-powered locomotives will reach 7,900, accounting for 40% of the total. In terms of vehicles, the number of passengers in 2010 will be maintained. It will reach 45,000 vehicles, and the number of trucks will reach 700,000.

In terms of urban rail transit, by 2015 China will build 79 urban rail transit lines in 22 cities with a total length of 2,295.84 kilometers and a total investment of 882.03 billion yuan.

Machine tool demand potential is huge
The railway's demand for machine tools can be roughly divided into four levels according to product and business division: the first is orbital processing and high-speed railway sleeper processing; the second is the manufacture of locomotives and vehicles; the third is the manufacture of wheels and vehicle parts; It is the daily maintenance and repair of the operation.

In terms of locomotive and vehicle manufacturing alone, the two major groups of CSR and CNR affiliated to the Ministry of Railways spent 5 billion yuan on machine tool purchases in 2009. If other three aspects are taken into consideration, it is expected to be used for machine tool procurement every year by 2012. The amount will exceed 2009, about 7 billion yuan.

According to the specific analysis, in the track processing and high-speed railway sleeper processing, the construction and transformation of speed-increasing and high-speed rails require new speed-increasing ballasts, and the demand for CNC ballast milling machines and ballast grinders will further increase. The high-speed track is laid on a track board that is completely different from the sleeper. A special CNC track plate grinder is required. According to the current situation, about one set per 100 kilometers is required.

In the manufacture of vehicle parts, the demand for machine tools for power parts, electric locomotives and electric drive diesel locomotives is quite different. The focus of electric locomotive machining is on the stator, rotor and motor shaft of the motor, while the focus of the electric drive locomotive is diesel engine, generator and transmission parts. In the body part, the body of different rolling stock is basically a steel frame beam structure, which requires partial surface and hole processing. In general, these processes belong to the general mechanical manufacturing and diesel engine manufacturing fields, and there are many demand for general-purpose machine tools and special machine tools, such as large and medium-sized vertical horizontal machining centers, gantry machining centers, CNC boring and milling machines, CNC vertical lathes, CNC precision grinding machines, Crankshafts, milling machines, cam lathes and cam grinders. Among them, at present, cam lathes and cam grinders have more imports.

According to relevant statistics, since the wheels and axles are consumable parts, the annual demand for axles for addition, renewal, overhaul, export, and urban rail and factory (iron) roads is more than 550,000, and the demand for wheels is even more. It is several times this, and only 10 companies have approved the production of axles approved by the Ministry of Railways. In the face of such a large-scale demand, the market prospects of the machine tool industry are quite promising.

In addition, another major machine tool market in the railway industry chain is the maintenance service field. These users are mainly locomotive sections and depots along the railway line, responsible for the routine maintenance and repair work of the running rolling stock. One of the most important tasks in the maintenance and repair business is to ensure the integrity of the wheels and axles, the timely repair and replacement of worn wheels and bearings, and the level repair of the axles when the bearings are replaced. Therefore, the numerical control wheel lathe for the wheel rim and the tread repair of the vehicle, the cylindrical grinding machine for the machine wheel to repair the rim and the tread under the disassembled condition, the cylindrical grinding machine for the lathe and the axle bearing seat level repair Are all necessary equipment.

In this field, at present, the CNC lathe on the high-speed railway in China is almost covered by the German Heigenschidt company, and the domestic CNC does not have a great development space for the lathe. At the same time, with the reform of the railway sector and the running of the train across the directors, the maintenance workload has increased substantially. The maintenance and repair work will be more and more concentrated in the locomotive section and the depot of the hub area, including the gantry wheel lathe. Ultrasonic flaw detection and wear measurement and automatic restoration of the prototype's minimum cutting volume will become the future direction.

In addition, with the development of China's railways, the degree of automation in the maintenance of the lines is also increasing, and the demand for road maintenance machinery has increased dramatically. It is understood that by 2012, there will be 1,000 large-scale road maintenance machines, which is also a growth point worthy of attention in the machine tool industry.

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